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| Author: | يان تيوريل |
| Category: | Democratic Leadership [Edit] |
| Language: | Arabic |
| Publisher: | المركز العربي للأبحاث ودراسة السياسات |
| ISBN: | 9786144452493 |
| Release Date: | 07 Mar 2019 |
| Pages: | 340 |
| Rank: | 464,575 No 1 most popular |
| Short link: | Copy |
| More books like this book | |
ما هي مُحدِّدات التحول الديمقراطي؟ وهل العوامل التي تدفع بلدانًا نحو الديمقراطية تساعدها أيضًا في وقف الردَّة نحو الأوتوقراطية؟ يحاول هذا الكتاب أن يجيب عن هذين السؤالين بمزيج من تحليل إحصائي لمُحدِّدات تغير النظام الحاكم الاجتماعية والاقتصادية والدولية في 165 بلدًا في العالم بين عامي 1972 و2006، ودراسة حالة أُنجزت لتسع حلقات من التحول الديمقراطي الذي شهدته كلٌّ من الأرجنتين وبوليفيا وهنغاريا ونيبال والبيرو والفيليبين وجنوب أفريقيا وتركيا والأورغواي. وتشير النتائج إلى أن الديمقرطية تتعزز بقوى بنيوية بعيدة الأجل مثل الازدهار الاقتصادي، وكذلك بانتفاضات شعبية سلمية، والتركيب المؤسساتي لأنظمة الحكم السلطوية. مع ذلك، يمكن الجهات النخبوية الفاعلة أن تضطلع في الأجل القريب بدور أساس، ولا سيما من خلال أهمية الانقسامات داخل نظام الحكم. يحاجّ يان تيوريل ليثبت أن لهذه النتائج انعكاسات مهمة بالنسبة إلى كل من نظريات التحول الديمقراطي الحالية ومساعي المجتمع الدولي في تطوير سياسات لتعزيز الديمقراطية.
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