The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
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Book The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
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The book cannot be previewed or downloaded in order to preserve the copyright of the author and publishing house
Not available digitally or on paper through the Noor Library, it is for rating and review
The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
| Author: | Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| Category: | Economy And Money [Edit] |
| Language: | English |
| Pages: | 501 |
| Rank: | 20,328 No 1 most popular |
| Short link: | Copy |
| More books like this book | |
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nobody
The Publisher and not the author Book The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable .
.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Author Book The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable and the author of 6 another books.
نسيم نقولا نجيب طالب كاتب أدبي، وباحث إبستمولوجي وبنفس الوقت علامة وأكاديمي متعدد المعارف، متخصص في أمور المعرفة وعلاقتها بالعشوائية، مارس أيضا في مجال الرياضيات المالية.
يعتبر مخترع المشتقات المالية المعقدة.
عمل نسيم في مجال الرياضيات المالية في إحدى شركات وول ستريت في نيويورك قبل أن يبدأ عملا آخر كباحث في إبستمولوجيا الأحداث الصدفوية ويركز على مشروعه في ترسيم خطة تمكننا أن نعيش ونتصرف في عالم لا نفهمه حقا.
وكيف يمكن أن نتعامل مع مجالات العشوائية واللامعلوم والتي تتضمنتها نظريته المسماة نظرية البجعة السوداء للأحداث النادرة غير المتوقعة.
Book Description
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities.
We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory.
The Black Swan is a landmark book – itself a black swan.
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Not available digitally or on paper through the Noor Library, it is for rating and review
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